New seat projections for the next European Parliament

On Friday, March 29th, the European Parliament released the third set of seat projections, based on a cross-section of national polls, on the composition of the next (9th) European Parliament.


EU Parliament projections
EU Parliament projections – source European Parliament


The EP has published a new set of projections on how the next chamber might look, based on polling data published in the EU member states until 26 March 2019. The data is based on a collection of reliable polls conducted by national polling institutes in the member states and aggregated by Kantar Public on behalf of Parliament.

Parties are only allocated to existing political groups or where they are already affiliated to an associated European political party. All new political parties and movements that have not yet declared their intentions are categorised as “other”. The next Parliament will have fewer MEPs (705) than the outgoing Parliament (751).

The European elections will take place from 23 – 26 May.